{"id":21,"date":"2011-07-09T23:29:13","date_gmt":"2011-07-09T23:29:13","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.constitutionalassembly.politicaldata.org\/?p=21"},"modified":"2011-07-09T23:29:13","modified_gmt":"2011-07-09T23:29:13","slug":"size-of-parliament","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.constitutionalassembly.politicaldata.org\/?p=21","title":{"rendered":"Size of parliament"},"content":{"rendered":"

In an article on visir.is<\/a>, \u00deorvaldur Gylfason, a member of the constitutional council, argues that the size of parliament should be reduce from 63 to 53 seats. \u00a0\u00deorvaldur, a former colleague at the University of Iceland, had actually asked me to put together a short summary about research on the size of legislature before the Supreme Court invalidated the outcome of the election to the Constitutional Assembly – at which point I put the matter aside and then, apparently, forgot about it. \u00a0\u00deorvaldur’s article was a timely reminder so here are my two cents.<\/em><\/p>\n

In short, not a whole has been written about the size of legislatures and much of it focuses on the effects legislature size on government spending. \u00a0Most research finds that larger legislatures spend more. \u00a0The argument is that individual legislatures are concerned with winning election and in order to win election are more likely to propose pork barrel projects to build a personal vote base. \u00a0In addition, larger legislative size makes pork barrel projects cheaper as the deliver target benefits while the costs are distributed more widely (greater number of districts). \u00a0A lot of this literature is focused on the U.S. where the conjecture appears to be supported by the empirical evidence (in unicameral legislatures). Mukherjee (2003) does find the same effect in a cross-national study. \u00a0As pork barrel politics appear to have been fairly important in Iceland historically and the preferential votes system is not likely to reduce those incentives, reducing the size of Althingi can be expected to reduce government spending (which may or may not be a good thing depending on one’s political leanings). \u00a0On the other hand, Primo and Snyder (2005) work suggests that the type of spending that is affected are, as the argument above suggests, inefficient pork barrel projects, which are less controversial. \u00a0However, that depends a lot on what the electoral system will look like – pork barrel projects may very well benefit the rural areas, which traditionally have been overrepresented in Althingi. \u00a0That said, even under a \u00a0preferential voting, it seems quite plausible that legislators\/candidates will seek to carve out ‘strongholds’ even if the country is a one electoral district.<\/p>\n

There is no question that Iceland’s legislature is large given the country’s population – there are roughly 5060 citizens for each legislator. \u00a0Only Tuvalu, Andorra, and Antigua and Barbuda have fewer citizen per legislator. \u00a0 One implication of this is that under the preferential vote system shaking hands and kissing babies (hopefully they will stop short of kissing chickens as Irish politicians have been known to do) really looks like a feasible strategy. \u00a0Randomly looking up MPs, I found, e.g., that Helgi Hjorvar has 2407 friends\u00a0on facebook – surely that is enough to get elected under the preferential system. \u00a0Reducing the number of MPs from 63 to 53 is, however, unlikely to make much of difference – it increases the number of citizens per legislator by slightly less than thousand. \u00a0Thus, under the preferential system, shaking hands, doing favors and providing pork would remain a feasible strategy unless a much larger reduction in the number of legislators was undertaken.<\/p>\n

However, at 63 legislators, Althingi is already a small legislature. \u00a0A lot of the discourse about the reform has focused on strengthening Althingi – although I think that discourse is in large part based on rather strange ideas about parliamentary regimes. \u00a0Leaving my skepticism aside, the literature on legislature frequently cites strong committee systems as an important, if not the primary, source of legislatures’ power vis-a-vis the executive. \u00a0One strand of those arguments focuses on institutional powers (ability to amend bills or kill bills in committee – which often are absent or dominated by party discipline in parliaments). \u00a0Such institutional powers are not likely to be affected by the number of legislators. \u00a0Another strand of arguments about the importance of legislative committees focuses on the opportunity that permanent legislative committees offer MPs to specialize. \u00a0As it stands there are 12 permanent committees composed of nine MPs each (11 for the the budget committee). \u00a0Thus, on average, each MP serves on 1.74 committees. \u00a0That seems quite a lot to me and I am skeptical that this allows MPs to become specialists in any policy area. \u00a0Reducing the number of MPs by 10 would increase that to 2.07 committees per MP, which certainly won’t help matter. \u00a0All in all, if one considers the committees the way to increase parliament’s influence, I think there is a strong case for increasing the number of MPs.<\/p>\n

Parliament’s role is not just to legislate – it is supposed to provide oversight. \u00a0One might argue that Althingi failed\u00a0spectacularly\u00a0in its oversight role in the years leading the the economic crash in 2008, which in no small part pushed the constitutional reform forward. \u00a0Despite being charged with protecting the interests of its citizens, not a single MP (save one minister) thought it necessary to resign. \u00a0The question is why Althingi didn’t take its oversight role seriously. \u00a0While I don’t know the answer to that question, a part of the problem has to do with Althingi’s resources – including the number of MPs for the reason cited above. \u00a0If Althingi is to have any real influence on policy or be able to exercise oversight it needs to have the resources to do so – meaning that either it needs to provide the right conditions for MPs to specialize in policy or vastly expand (establish?) Althingi’s research capabilities. \u00a0The problem with Althingi is not that it is too expensive but that it is too cheap.<\/p>\n

There are also some other issues that need to be considered. \u00a0Ministers have, nearly without exception, been drawn from the legislature. \u00a0That is, the legislature is effectively the talent pool from which ministers are drawn. \u00a0What are the effects of shrinking the talent pool? \u00a0Supposing there are 10 ministers (as proposed by the constitutional council) then nearly two-fifths of the MPs of the governing parties (assuming a narrow majority) are become ministers. \u00a0Frankly, I find that a little worrying. \u00a0I’ll quote (a great quote) from Dewan and Myatt (2008) about ministerial selection in the UK:<\/p>\n

“Paxman (2003, p. 209) recounted that Tristan Garel-Jones, a whip in a United\u00a0Kingdom government of the 1980s and a close con\ufb01dante of Prime Minister John Major,\u00a0recalled scanning a list of \ufb01fteen candidates for a junior ministerial post and thinking<\/p>\n

\u201cI wouldn\u2019t employ a single one of them. The problem was that, if you\u00a0include all the various ranks of ministers, you have to \ufb01nd maybe ninety people to form a government. You have perhaps 350 or so people to\u00a0choose from. Once you\u2019ve eliminated the bad, mad, drunk and over-the hill, you\u2019ve got rid of a hundred. You then have to pick ninety people out of a pool of 250. Is it any wonder that the calibre is so low?\u201d “<\/p>\n

Changing the number of MPs is also likely to affect the number of parties (thought how that pans out depends on the electoral system) – most likely reduce the number of parties and raising the barrier of entry for new parties. \u00a0That brings us back to the size of government. \u00a0Mukherjee (2003) finds that the number of parties in the legislature has a positive effective on government spending and others have shown that the number of parties in government also increases government spending (Bawn and Rosenbluth) but greater legislative fragmentation should lead to larger coalition governments (i.e., more parties).<\/p>\n

In sum, I can see arguments for and against reducing the size of Althingi – in the end I think it depends on the role one wants Althingi to play. \u00a0However, I think a lot more research is required to offer a conclusion answer. \u00a0As it stands, we actually know fairly little about what members of Althingi do. \u00a0For example, how important are the legislative committees in the current system? \u00a0How much does Althingi amend legislative bills? \u00a0Are these amendments substantive or are they primarily cosmetic? \u00a0How important is pork barrel in Icelandic politics? \u00a0Making an informed decision actually requires answering these questions – and ideally not just rely on our hunches about what the answers might be.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

For references: See\u00a0Required Readings<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n

Some additional notes on related readings. \u00a0Stigler (1976) is one of the early studies of legislature size and its consequences. \u00a0Lowenberg (2007) discusses how different conceptions of representations have implication for the choice of the size of the legislature. \u00a0Gilligan and Matsusaka (2007), Primo and Snyder (2005) and Chen and Malhotra (2007) provide evidence for the positive relationship between legislature size and government spending in the U.S. \u00a0Mukherjee (2003) shows that legislature size and the number of parties increase government spending. \u00a0Ricciuti (2004) also examines government spending cross-nationally and fails to find evidence for a relationship. <\/span>Nadia Fiorino and Roberto Ricciuti (2007) find a large effect of legislature size on per capita regional government spending in the Italian regions.<\/span> Rasmusen and Ramseyer (1992) examine the relationship between size of legislature and bribes. <\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

In an article on visir.is, \u00deorvaldur Gylfason, a member of the constitutional council, argues that the size of parliament should be reduce from 63 to 53 seats. \u00a0\u00deorvaldur, a former colleague at the University of Iceland, had actually asked me to put together a short summary about research on the size of legislature before the […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,10,11],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-21","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-constitution","category-institutions","category-legislatures"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t